3
Lenola De Cortem
5yo Filly · 9-10
Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Laval | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 04/07/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 02/09/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/10/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |