7

Lerida Sted

5yo Filly · 9-10

Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/02C?C0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 015/04C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13625/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-04-15Reims?3rd3rd0
2026-02-02Maure De Bretagne?7th7th0
2026-01-21Mauquenchy60

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0215/0425/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +31.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/02/20267th66/10%25%+0.25
15/04/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
25/08/20262nd20/10%89%+0.89