2
Lexa De La Croix
5yo Filly · 9-10
Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-31 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Chartres | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 01/10/2024 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 10/10/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 14/11/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 04/12/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 06/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 31/07/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/11/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |