6
Ligella Du Vivier
5yo Filly · 9-13
Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +47.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |