12

Lipska

5yo Filly · 9-13

Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#9

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Reims 24/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 024/04C?C0 @ Vichy 12/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 012/05C?C0 @ La Capelle 21/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/07C?C0 @ Caen 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13915/06C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Lisieux60
2026-06-15Caen?5th5th0
2026-05-12Angers?0
2025-10-18Enghien?0
2025-10-04Laval?0
2025-08-29Cabourg?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0412/0521/0715/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength78%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
12/05/20252nd5/287%90%+0.03
21/07/20259th2/189%27%-0.62
15/06/20265th12/137%69%+0.32