5

Livia Des Landes

5yo Filly · 9-10

Cabourg · Prix De Mortree - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Angers 10/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f12y Std 13210/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 04/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 132C0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13222/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 17/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13217/11C?C0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f12y Std 132C0 @ Cabourg 16/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13216/12C?C0 @ Graignes 30/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1326 @ Lisieux 14/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 13614/036projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-04Meslay Du Maine?0
2026-04-02Mauquenchy60
2026-03-14Lisieux62nd2nd0
2025-12-30Graignes?3rd3rd0
2025-12-16Cabourg?6th6th0
2025-12-08Angers?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/062/1016/1214/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20253rd18/15%86%+0.80
04/07/20253rd6/168%85%+0.16
22/07/20253rd17/255%83%+0.28
02/10/20254th14/126%82%+0.56
17/11/20258th66/10%36%+0.36
08/12/202511th25/10%33%+0.33
16/12/20256th40/10%64%+0.64
30/12/20253rd28/10%80%+0.80
14/03/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92