13
Jade
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cintheaux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 28/04/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 22/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |