5
Judicious Daydream
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cintheaux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |