9

Juillet
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cintheaux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 7 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-08 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-22 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |