15
June D'erable
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cintheaux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 25/11/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 08/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |