7

Junta Des Thirons

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Cintheaux - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 06/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06/06C?C0 @ Agen 21/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0C0 @ Langon-Libourne 29/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 029/07C?C0 @ Toulouse 31/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 14/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 014/11C?6 @ Agen 17/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 05 @ Toulouse 07/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/0255 @ Toulouse 19/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30La Capelle?0
2026-07-26Enghien?0
2026-07-07La Capelle?8th8th0
2026-03-22Agen?0
2026-02-19Toulouse55th5th0
2026-02-07Toulouse56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0631/107/027/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20255th18/15%71%+0.66
21/06/20255th13/266%71%+0.06
29/07/202511th25/10%9%+0.09
31/10/20259th25/10%47%+0.47
14/11/20254th33/10%79%+0.79
17/01/20266th25/10%62%+0.62
07/02/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
19/02/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
07/07/20268th50/10%53%+0.53