IvyArcIvyArc
7

Avos Rose

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 47

Canterbury Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f110y 12023/07C6C6 @ Canterbury Park 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 55 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 55 par9/08C6OR 55C6 @ Canterbury Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 49 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 49 par22/08C6OR 49C6 @ Canterbury Park 06/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 48 · 5f 120 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 48 par6/09C6OR 48projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2026-08-22Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2026-08-09Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2026-07-23Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/079/0822/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -19.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
09/08/20264th7/282%57%-0.24
22/08/20264th4/179%25%-0.54
06/09/20264th15/261%40%-0.21