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4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 65

Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 7f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength17%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Fair Grounds 24/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 69 · 1m 120 · below its mark24/01/2025 · OR 69 par24/01C9OR 69C9 @ Oaklawn Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f 124 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 74 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 69 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 69 par26/04C9OR 69C6 @ Canterbury Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 58 · 6f 125 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 58 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 51 · 7f110y Fm 125 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 51 par6/06C6OR 51C6 @ Canterbury Park 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 53 · 1m 125 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 53 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 55 · 7f110y Fm 125 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 55 par23/07C6OR 55C6 @ Canterbury Park 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 60 · 7f110y Fm 125 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 60 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 125 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 62 par29/08C6OR 62projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Canterbury Park?5th6th−1
2026-08-13Canterbury Park?1st2nd−1
2026-07-23Canterbury Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-28Canterbury Park?3rd4th−1
2026-06-06Canterbury Park?4th5th−1
2026-05-23Canterbury Park?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0123/0523/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/01/20255th15/261%43%-0.18
09/04/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
26/04/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
23/05/20265th15/261%20%-0.41
06/06/20264th8/158%25%-0.33
28/06/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21
23/07/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
13/08/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
29/08/20265th20/10%20%+0.20