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4

Heavenly Destiny

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 61

Canterbury Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 7f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength22%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 18/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 32 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 32 par18/09C6OR 32C9 @ Oaklawn Park 14/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 37 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 37 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 34 · 6f Fas 117 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 34 par3/01C9OR 34C9 @ Oaklawn Park 16/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 31 · 1m Fas 117 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 31 parC9 @ Canterbury Park 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 28 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 28 par19/06C9OR 28C6 @ Canterbury Park 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 37 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 37 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 44 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 44 par2/08C6OR 44C5 @ Canterbury Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 57 · 7f Fas 120 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 57 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 59 · 7f 120 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 59 par5/09C5OR 59projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Canterbury Park?2nd2nd0
2026-08-16Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2026-08-02Canterbury Park?1st2nd−1
2026-07-10Canterbury Park?3rd4th−1
2026-06-19Canterbury Park?2nd6th−4
2026-02-16Oaklawn Park?10th14th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0916/022/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20255th40/10%43%+0.43
14/12/202510th50/10%0%0.00
03/01/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
16/02/202610th33/10%0%0.00
19/06/20262nd9/276%75%-0.01
10/07/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26
02/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
16/08/20264th33/10%25%+0.25
05/09/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64