IvyArcIvyArc
1

Strike Commander

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 68

Canterbury Park · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 12014/08C6C6 @ Canterbury Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 71 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 71 par23/08C6OR 71C6 @ Canterbury Park 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 75 par10/09C6OR 75projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-23Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-14Canterbury Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0823/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
23/08/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29
10/09/20263rd11/893%60%-0.33