Arjun For Karz
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 65
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Canterbury Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 07/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |