2
Hot Legs Romolo
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 99
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Canterbury Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |