5
Loring Park
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 88
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Canterbury Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 14% | -0.70 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |