9
Stability
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 86
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |