10
Stradivarian
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 98
Canterbury Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-23 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |