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4

Bella Mendy

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 88

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m Gd 119 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 79 par1/03C8OR 79C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f 120 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 77 · 6f 120 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 77 par4/04C8OR 77C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f 118 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Canterbury Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 76 · 6f 123 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 76 par23/05C7OR 76C6 @ Canterbury Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 2 · OR 81 · 6f Gd 123 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 81 parC7 @ Canterbury Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 83 par26/07C7OR 83C7 @ Canterbury Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 82 parC0 @ Canterbury Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 12213/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Canterbury Park?5th5th0
2026-08-16Canterbury Park?5th6th−1
2026-07-26Canterbury Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-07-05Canterbury Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-23Canterbury Park?1st2nd−1
2026-04-17Tampa Bay Downs?7th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0317/0426/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/202610th8/158%0%-0.58
22/03/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
04/04/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
17/04/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
23/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
05/07/20262nd4/596%0%-0.96
26/07/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64
16/08/20265th7/163%0%-0.63
13/09/20265th16/116%20%+0.04