1
Birdie Be Gone
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 92
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |