10
Call'em All
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 86
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Canterbury Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 08/01/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |