9
Factor That
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 69
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-01-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2025-10-16 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |