Flatter Me Billy
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 82
Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Canterbury Park | BHA79 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-02 | Canterbury Park | BHA78 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Canterbury Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |