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3

Rumpus In Paradise

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Del Mar 27/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f 11927/07C9C9 @ Del Mar 17/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 58 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark17/08/2025 · OR 58 parC9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 14/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 50 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark14/12/2025 · OR 50 par14/12C9OR 50C9 @ Turf Paradise 15/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 54 · 1m 121 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 54 parC7 @ Turf Paradise 28/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 59 · 1m Fm 120 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 59 par28/04C7OR 59C6 @ Canterbury Park 25/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 69 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 69 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 5f Gd 120 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 73 par29/08C6OR 73C6 @ Canterbury Park 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 1m 120 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 73 par6/09C6OR 73projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Canterbury Park?1st2nd−1
2026-08-29Canterbury Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-25Canterbury Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-04-28Turf Paradise?3rd4th−1
2026-04-15Turf Paradise?2nd6th−3
2025-12-14Los Alamitos Racecourse?3rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0715/0429/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20256th4/179%29%-0.50
17/08/20256th10/147%44%-0.03
14/12/20253rd9/153%71%+0.19
15/04/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14
28/04/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14
25/05/20262nd11/486%67%-0.19
29/08/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
06/09/20261st6/594%100%+0.06