7

Vali Vali Val

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 81

Canterbury Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 60 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 60 par21/03C9OR 60C6 @ Gulfstream 09/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 67 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 72 · 7f 119 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 72 par1/05C9OR 72C5 @ Canterbury Park 25/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 66 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 66 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 71 par11/06C5OR 71C5 @ Canterbury Park 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 68 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 67 par26/07C5OR 67C6 @ Canterbury Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 72 · 5f 118 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Canterbury Park 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 70 par10/09C5OR 70projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Canterbury Park?2nd1st+1
2026-08-28Canterbury Park?4th4th0
2026-07-26Canterbury Park?2nd1st+1
2026-07-03Canterbury Park?6th5th+1
2026-06-11Canterbury Park?6th5th+1
2026-05-25Canterbury Park?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0325/0526/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength18%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20263rd10/382%78%-0.05
09/04/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
01/05/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
25/05/20263rd7/491%50%-0.41
11/06/20266th9/153%0%-0.53
03/07/20266th7/163%0%-0.63
26/07/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
28/08/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
10/09/20262nd10/382%75%-0.07