2
Rosberg
2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 103
Chantilly · Prix Des Chenes - Tattersalls - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage Stakes - Group 3 · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 3 | 4th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |