7
Belisa Bay
2yo Filly · 8-10
Chantilly · Prix Eclipse - Tattersalls - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage - Group 3 · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 1.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +18.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |