9
Ciao Pa'
6yo Horse · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
65%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 23/06/2026 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |