15
Dash Dizzy
4yo Gelding · 8-9
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Southwell | 1 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-04-30 | Ascot | 1 | 8th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 04/09/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 28/09/2024 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/04/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 28/11/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 03/08/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |