10
Fou Furieux
5yo Colt · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.6
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 09/12/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 12/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/08/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |