4
Grand Scoop
5yo Gelding · 9-3
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 38% | -0.53 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |