13
Heroiste
3yo Filly · 8-10
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-10-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |