1
Lesslepasser
7yo Gelding · 9-10
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 76% | +0.71 |
| 22/08/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 7% | -0.35 |