7

Major Oak
6yo Gelding · 8-12
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/01/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |