7

Major Oak

6yo Gelding · 8-12

Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 26/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 13426/11C?C0 @ Deauville 18/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1312 @ Deauville 09/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1349/012C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1312 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1232/0623 @ ParisLongchamp 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1233 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1233/0731 @ Deauville 02/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 120 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Deauville 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Ver 12422/082projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Deauville25th5th0
2026-08-02Deauville19th8th+1
2026-07-03Clairefontaine34th5th1
2026-06-15ParisLongchamp35th6th1
2026-06-02Saint-Cloud28th8th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1112/053/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/202511th33/10%33%+0.33
18/12/20256th28/10%67%+0.67
09/01/202614th33/10%13%+0.13
12/05/20265th25/10%73%+0.73
02/06/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
15/06/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
03/07/20264th18/15%63%+0.57
02/08/20269th22/10%53%+0.53
22/08/20265th14/126%73%+0.47