14

Mikey

4yo Colt · 8-9

Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Marseille 08/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1368/12C5C5 @ Pau 23/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 127C0 @ Marseille 22/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Std 13122/03C?2 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1214 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 14323/054C5 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1283 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13026/0634 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1502 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f100y Std 12520/082projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Deauville23rd3rd0
2026-07-03Tarbes42nd4th2
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch34th5th1
2026-06-08Toulouse?1st4th3
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat41st3rd2
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat214th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1227/0426/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20256th5/287%38%-0.49
23/02/202612th14/126%21%-0.05
22/03/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
27/04/202614th80/10%7%+0.07
23/05/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
08/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
26/06/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
03/07/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
20/08/20263rd10/147%86%+0.38