3
Ozan
8yo Gelding · 9-4
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 15/09/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 11% | -0.74 |
| 26/11/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/04/2026 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/05/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/08/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |