2

Profumo Di Iena

4yo Filly · 9-5

Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Deauville 13/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f100y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS13/12C13 @ Deauville 06/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1202 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13317/0322 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 1202 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13414/0421 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 5f102y GS 13423/062C1 @ Deauville 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 4f213y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 121 · HIGHER CLASS4/091projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Chantilly18th7th+1
2026-08-09Deauville?5th4th+1
2026-06-23Dieppe24th4th0
2026-05-04Chantilly16th5th+1
2026-04-14Chantilly23rd3rd0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau21st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1231/0323/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/202512th33/10%27%+0.27
06/02/20266th7/282%29%-0.53
17/03/20262nd15/261%93%+0.32
31/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
14/04/20263rd5/287%87%-0.00
04/05/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
23/06/20264th9/153%80%+0.27
09/08/20265th22/10%67%+0.67
04/09/20268th17/255%0%-0.55