2

Profumo Di Iena
4yo Filly · 9-5
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.4
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 87% | -0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |