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8

Royalwood

6yo Mare · 8-11

Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ ParisLongchamp 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 1255/0422 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1192 @ ParisLongchamp 30/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 11930/042C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1252 @ Chantilly 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 68 · 5f212y Ver 127 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 68 par19/052OR 682 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 5f102y GS 1342 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 13213/0721 @ Deauville 02/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Deauville 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Ver 12522/082projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Deauville27th7th0
2026-08-02Deauville112th11th+1
2026-07-13Dieppe214th14th0
2026-06-23Dieppe28th8th0
2026-05-19Chantilly26th6th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0412/0513/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20264th14/126%80%+0.54
14/04/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
30/04/202610th25/10%40%+0.40
12/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
19/05/20266th6/168%55%-0.14
23/06/20268th9/153%53%+0.01
13/07/202614th11/142%7%-0.35
02/08/202612th33/10%35%+0.35
22/08/20267th18/15%60%+0.55