12
Schuman
4yo Colt · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix Du Cabinet Des Livres Handicap · 5f 212y
#15
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 05/04/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 30/04/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 13/07/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |