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6

Awaken

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 99

Chantilly · Prix Bertrand De Tarragon - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage Stakes - Group 3 · 1m 208y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 14/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Goo 12814/0551 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 6f GF 1284 @ Leicester 30/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 12830/0741 @ Salisbury 12/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 102 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 102 par1 @ Newmarket 26/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 102 · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 102 par26/091OR 1021 @ Newmarket 15/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 102 · 7f Gd 128 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 102 par2 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 30 · OR 101 · 1m GF 135 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 101 par19/062OR 1011 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 99 · 7f Goo 125 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 99 par1 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 99 · 7f209y Sft 124 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 99 par15/081OR 99projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Deauville14th4th0
2026-07-29Goodwood16th6th0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot215th17th−1
2026-04-15Newmarket111th11th0
2025-09-26Newmarket14th4th+0
2025-09-12Salisbury19th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0512/0919/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20252nd7/163%86%+0.23
20/06/20252nd66/10%94%+0.94
30/07/20251st1/12100%100%+0.00
12/09/20259th3/184%20%-0.64
26/09/20254th17/255%67%+0.11
15/04/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
19/06/202615th20/10%52%+0.52
29/07/20266th25/10%58%+0.58
15/08/20264th14/126%73%+0.46