1

Gaga Girl

4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 97

Chantilly · Prix Bertrand De Tarragon - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage Stakes - Group 3 · 1m 208y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Compiegne 10/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 12310/10C1C0 @ Chantilly 31/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 124C5 @ Chantilly 21/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12221/11C53 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 1221 @ ParisLongchamp 14/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 12314/0512 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 24 · OR 97 · 1m GF 130 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 97 par1 @ Deauville 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 7f209y Sft 124 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 97 par4/071OR 971 @ Deauville 02/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 97 · 7f209y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 97 par1 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 97 · 7f209y Hvy 124 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 97 par30/081OR 97projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville14th4th0
2026-08-02Deauville16th6th+0
2026-07-04Deauville11st1st0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot29th11th1
2026-05-14ParisLongchamp12nd2nd0
2026-04-25Compiegne31st4th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1025/044/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength72%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20256th18/15%44%+0.39
31/10/20254th7/282%57%-0.24
21/11/20252nd12/137%89%+0.52
25/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/05/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
17/06/20269th10/147%65%+0.18
04/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
02/08/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
30/08/20264th13/891%40%-0.51