8
Lethal Beauty
3yo Filly · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix Bertrand De Tarragon - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage Stakes - Group 3 · 1m 208y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Chantilly | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |