7
Sacred Ground
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 96
Chantilly · Prix Bertrand De Tarragon - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage Stakes - Group 3 · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Sandown | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newmarket | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |