7
Swinguer
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Chantilly · Prix Tilbury - Gueudet Agri Oise&Marne Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-05-06 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-04-05 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-03-13 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 05/04/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 92% | +0.00 |
| 06/05/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |