1
Tipinso
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Chantilly · Prix Tilbury - Gueudet Agri Oise&Marne Stakes - Awt · 1m 1f 97y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.6
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 01/06/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 12/01/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |