7

Bacchilide
7yo Gelding · 9-4
Chantilly · Prix Du Roi Des Manuscrits Handicap · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 26/03/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |
| 23/06/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 44% | -0.44 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |