6
Drogo
8yo Gelding · 9-4
Chantilly · Prix Du Roi Des Manuscrits Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/02/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 05/03/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 26/03/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 31/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 13/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 02/08/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |