10
Eagle Gate
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Chantilly · Prix Du Roi Des Manuscrits Handicap · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength15%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 19/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 17/03/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 31/03/2026 | 14th | 5/1 | 74% | 7% | -0.67 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |